Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) explained
Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) is the gold standard metric for comparing energy costs across different technologies and over time. It divides the total lifetime cost of a solar system by the total electricity it produces, giving you a cost per kWh.
LCOE formula (simplified):
LCOE = Total lifetime costs ÷ Total lifetime kWh generated
For a typical UK residential system:
- Upfront cost: £7,000
- Inverter replacement (year 12): £1,000
- Maintenance/insurance over 25 years: £500
- Total cost: £8,500
- Total generation (4 kW, degrading at 0.5%/yr): ~87,000 kWh over 25 years
- LCOE = 8,500 ÷ 87,000 = ~9.8p/kWh
Compare this to the current UK retail electricity price of 24–28p/kWh — solar electricity costs roughly a third of grid electricity over its lifetime.
LCOE also helps compare solar vs grid over time: as grid prices rise with inflation, solar's LCOE stays fixed (since the panels are already paid for), making it increasingly valuable. A system installed today at 10p/kWh LCOE looks even better if grid electricity reaches 35p/kWh in 2030.